Grammy 2000 Predictions

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Date: Feb 12, 2000
Source: MSN
Submitted By: .:BrokLovah:.

and Jennifer for sending this in.

This is an editied version of the article. You can see the entire thing here.

Trying to accurately predict the winners of the Grammy Awards is about as easy as trying to predict an earthquake; no matter how thorough you are in attempting to cover your bases through educated guesswork and a bit of good old-fashioned intuition, something unexpected almost always comes along to shake things up.

This year promises to be no different, as sentimental favorites sidle up alongside next-big-thing newcomers to make choosing the winners a task that would give Nostradamus pause. (Incidentally, if that dire-minded prognosticator were still alive today, you can bet he'd be more partial to The Fragile by Nine Inch Nails than to Ricky Martin's "Livin' La Vida Loca.")

RECORD OF THE YEAR

"I Want It That Way" - Backstreet Boys
"Believe" - Cher
"Livin' La Vida Loca" - Ricky Martin
"Smooth" - Santana
"No Scrubs" - TLC

The Record Of The Year competition is especially tough this year, with five major mega-hits to choose from. The Backstreet Boys, who managed to recover nicely from their Best New Artist loss to Lauryn Hill with one of the biggest-selling albums of 1999, may fall short among members who are still cleaning the sap from their evening wear after Celine Dion's win for "My Heart Will Go On" last year. The played-out "Livin' La Vida Loca" has suffered "Macarena"-sized overexposure but may still curry Grammy's favor, despite the fact that it's long since been relegated to a late-night monologue joke with a rimshot in the real world. The hip factor goes to "No Scrubs," but this blunt feminist anthem from the TLC's Fan Mail disc probably won't sway male fans in the Grammy voting pool. The prize will likely go to Santana for "Smooth," but perhaps most deserving is Cher; awarding the 53-year-old diva a prize for the biggest single of 1999 and the biggest song of her career after over 20 Grammy-less top 40 hits would be a fitting token of appreciation and a worthy consolation after that Best New Artist loss with Sonny back in 1965.

ALBUM OF THE YEAR Millennium - Backstreet Boys
Fly - Dixie Chicks
When I Look In Your Eyes - Diana Krall
Supernatural - Santana
Fan Mail - TLC

Diana who? Grammy seems to be making up for lost time with a nod to Krall's When I Look In Your Eyes,the first time the jazz genre has enjoyed an Album Of The Year nod since Getz/ Gilberto took the prize in 1964. But Krall doesn't stand a chance among this year's other high-profile entries, which include multi-platinum releases from teen pop darlings the Backstreet Boys, country's new reigning queens the Dixie Chicks, sizzling R&Bsters TLC, and classic rock superman Santana. The noms mark a step up for TLC,whose six-times-platinum CrazySexyCool took R&B Album honors five years ago but failed to land an Album Of The Year nod; likewise for Dixie Chicks, who've become a C&W institution since winning the Country Album trophy for Wide Open Spaces last year. But the success of Santana's first No. 1 album in nearly 30 years make the venerable legend a virtual shoo-in for this one.

SONG OF THE YEAR

"I Want It That Way" - Andreas Carlsson & Max Martin, songwriters (Backstreet Boys)
"Livin' La Vida Loca" - Desmond Child & Robi Rosa, songwriters (Ricky Martin)
"Smooth" - Itaal Shur & Rob Thomas, songwriters(Santana featuring Rob Thomas)
"Unpretty" - Dallas Austin & Tionne "T-Boz" Watkins, songwriters (TLC)
"You Got Away" - Robert John "Mutt" Lange & Shania Twain, songwriters (Shania Twain)

This is the category that may keep Santana from sweeping the Big Three of Record, Album and Song Of The year. That's because Itaal Shur and Rob Thomas's song "Smooth" is up against the kind of mainstream pop fare that the Grammys love, including songs from heavy-hitters like Desmond Child and Shania Twain. But Grammy is also a sucker for the perfectly crafted ballad, and they don't come much craftier than the Backstreet Boys' massive hit, "I Want It That Way."

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